[R-sig-ME] Constraining error variance to 0 in a mixed model.

D. Rizopoulos d@rizopoulo@ @ending from er@@mu@mc@nl
Sat Jan 12 20:35:33 CET 2019


The call to gls() is the one that fits an unstructured covariance matrix for the error terms. Namely, the varIdent() function in the weights arguments specifies that we want a difference variance parameter per occasion, and the corSymm() function in the correlation argument specifies that we want a general symmetric correlation matrix for the measurements of each person.

In any case, a much simpler call to lme() also seems to work, i.e.,

fit5 <- lme(test ~ 0 + occasion, random = ~ 0 + occasion | person, data = Dat)

vcov(fit5)


Best,
Dimitris


-----Original Message-----
From: Rolf Turner <r.turner using auckland.ac.nz> 
Sent: Friday, January 11, 2019 10:08 PM
To: D. Rizopoulos <d.rizopoulos using erasmusmc.nl>
Cc: Help Mixed Models <r-sig-mixed-models using r-project.org>
Subject: Re: [R-sig-ME] Constraining error variance to 0 in a mixed model.


On 1/11/19 8:53 PM, D. Rizopoulos wrote:

> For what it's worth, the same model can be fitted with nlme::gls without any warning messages:
> 
> library(nlme)
> fit4 <- gls(test ~ 0 + occasion, data = Dat,
>              weights = varIdent(form = ~ 1 | occasion),
>              correlation = corSymm(form = ~ 1 | person))
> 
> vcov(fit4)

Thanks.  That's interesting, but a bit obscure from the point of view of a naive young ( :-) ) thing like myself.  The syntax of the call to
gls() is mind-boggling --- at least to my feeble mind.

What I really wanted (as I have remarked in similar posts in the past) is to be able to fit simple mixed models in a simple-minded way, to check that my call to the more sophisticated software is correct.  This desideratum kind of falls apart if the sophisticated software cannot/won't fit the simple model (at least not without throwing a hissy-fit).

I think that what I *can* take away from your fitting procedure is that there are/should be no insurmountable intrinsic numerical barriers to fitting the simple model that I propose by means of sophisticated software.

cheers,

Rolf

--
Honorary Research Fellow
Department of Statistics
University of Auckland
Phone: +64-9-373-7599 ext. 88276


> -----Original Message-----
> From: R-sig-mixed-models <r-sig-mixed-models-bounces using r-project.org> On Behalf Of Rolf Turner
> Sent: Friday, January 11, 2019 3:30 AM
> To: Help Mixed Models <r-sig-mixed-models using r-project.org>
> Subject: [R-sig-ME] Constraining error variance to 0 in a mixed model.
> 
> 
> Let me start off by apologising for beating this issue to death on this mailing list.  I have raised it (without getting satisfactory answers) on several occasions.  If you are fed up to the teeth with my maundering s, please just press the delete button.
> 
> This latest occasion was triggered by my trying to learn to use the glmmTMB function (from the package of the same name).  I noticed (to my initial delight) that glmmTMB() has an argument "dispformula" and the help says (in particular) "In Gaussian mixed models, dispformula=~0 fixes the [dispersion] parameter to be 0, forcing variance into the random effects."
> 
> I said "Ah-ha!  The very thing."  So I tried it out, using the following data set (supplied by Ben Pelzer in a posting to this list, and previously used by my very good self to illustrate the problem that I am trying to solve):
> 
> Dat <- structure(list(person = c(1L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 5L, 5L, 5L, 6L, 6L, 6L, 7L, 7L, 7L, 8L, 8L, 8L, 9L, 9L, 9L, 10L, 10L, 10L, 11L, 11L, 11L, 12L, 12L, 12L, 13L, 13L, 13L, 14L, 14L, 14L, 15L, 15L, 15L, 16L, 16L, 16L, 17L, 17L, 17L, 18L, 18L, 18L, 19L, 19L, 19L, 20L, 20L, 20L), occasion = structure(c(1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L), .Label = c("1", "2", "3"), class = "factor"), test = c(25L, 21L, 27L, 27L, 19L, 23L, 20L, 18L, 18L, 26L, 33L, 46L, 25L, 36L, 47L, 36L, 35L, 41L, 30L, 30L, 37L, 23L, 21L, 19L, 39L, 37L, 33L, 29L, 36L, 49L, 29L, 34L, 44L, 39L, 32L, 30L, 26L, 32L, 36L, 33L, 21L, 8L, 30L, 34L, 34L, 27L, 34L, 39L, 41L, 40L, 44L, 37L, 34L, 34L, 23L, 26L, 30L, 31L, 28L, 27L)), row.names = c(NA, -60L), class = "data.frame")
> 
> I tried three ways of "analysing" these data:
> 
> (1) Simple-minded multivariate analysis:
> 
> X   <- matrix(Dat$test,byrow=TRUE,ncol=3)
> colnames(X) <- paste0("occasion",1:3)
> mu  <- apply(X,2,mean)
> Sig <- var(X)/20 # X has 20 rows
> 
> (2) Using lmer():
> library(lme4)
> fit2 <- lmer(test ~ 0 + occasion + (0 + occasion | person),data=Dat,
>                control=lmerControl(check.nobs.vs.nRE = "ignore"))
> 
> (The "control" argument was gathered from a posting by Maarten Jung, on which I have previously commented.)
> 
> Note that this "works" but throws (as I have previously noted) a disconcerting warning message:
> 
>> Warning message:
>> In checkConv(attr(opt, "derivs"), opt$par, ctrl = control$checkConv,  :
>>    Model is nearly unidentifiable: large eigenvalue ratio
>>   - Rescale variables?
> 
> (3) Using glmmTMB():
> library(glmmTMB)
> fit3 <- glmmTMB(test ~ 0 + occasion + (0 + occasion | person),data=Dat,
>                   dispformula = ~0)
> 
> (No warning message; initially I said "Wheeeee!!!")
> 
> The "parameter estimates" mu, fixef(fit2) and fixef(fit3) all agree:
> 
> occasion1 occasion2 occasion3
>       29.80     30.05     33.30
> 
> The covariance Sig and vcov(fit2) agree modulo numerical noise:
> 
>   > Sig
>             occasion1 occasion2 occasion3
> occasion1 1.7821053  1.150526 0.5768421
> occasion2 1.1505263  2.249868 3.0623684
> occasion3 0.5768421  3.062368 5.8531579
> 
>   > vcov(fit2)
> 3 x 3 Matrix of class "dpoMatrix"
>             occasion1 occasion2 occasion3
> occasion1 1.7821054  1.150526 0.5768422
> occasion2 1.1505265  2.249868 3.0623683
> occasion3 0.5768422  3.062368 5.8531577
> 
> However vcov(fit3) differs; after some head scratching I realised that it is equal to 19/20 times the others.  After a little more head scratching I said ah-ha!  The glmmTMB() function sets REML=FALSE by default.  So I'll just call it with REML=TRUE:
> 
> fit3 <- glmmTMB(test ~ 0+occasion + (0+occasion | person),data=Dat,
>                   dispformula = ~0,REML=TRUE)
> 
> And now vcov(fit3) more-or-less agrees with the other results:
> 
>   > vcov(fit3)
> Conditional model:
>             occasion1 occasion2 occasion3
> occasion1 1.7819337  1.150276 0.5765386
> occasion2 1.1502758  2.249755 3.0623895
> occasion3 0.5765386  3.062390 5.8534164
> 
> But, to my extreme irritation, glmmTMB() now also throws a warning:
> 
>> Warning message:
>> In fitTMB(TMBStruc) :
>> Model convergence problem; false convergence (8). See
>> vignette('troubleshooting')
> 
> (I've looked at the vignette, and I can sort of see a connection, but not really.)
> 
> *Why* does the bloody universe always do this sort of thing to me?  Why on earth should dividing by 19 rather than 20, effectively, cause such a warning to be thrown?
> 
> Isn't something a little out of whack here?
> 
> I reiterate at this point a remark that I made in a previous post on the issue of constraining the error variance to 0:
> 
>> What we have here is a "boundary" or "edge" or "corner" case, and I
>> have heard it asserted by someone knowledgeable and respected (can't
>> remember who, it was a long while ago) that in testing your software
>> it is crucial to see how it behaves with such "boundary" cases.
> 
> Am I being unreasonable?  (*Me*?  *Unreasonable*?  Perish the thought!) :-)
> 
> cheers,
> 
> Rolf Turner
> 
> P.S.  Note that setting REML=FALSE in the call to lmer() causes it to produce a covariance matrix that agrees with that produced by glmmTMB() with default setting.  However this has no impact upon the error message issued by lmer().
> 
> R. T.
> 




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