[R-SIG-Finance] returns convention
paul sorenson
sf at metrak.com
Mon Oct 8 23:44:48 CEST 2007
I appreciate all the responses. It kind of confirms what I was thinking
but I didn't want to die wondering.
o Log returns have some neat properties for calculations.
o The difference between log returns and simple returns for small
changes isn't that big.
o It sounds like log and simple returns unintentionally get used
interchangeably from time to time.
o I need to be careful when calculating portfolios.
o Using functions out of some of these great packages has some traps
for young players.
One simple case where it would be nice to know is where I am comparing
my calculations with someone elses. Eg comparing annualized returns or
Sharpe ratios with numbers published on the web.
Peter Carl wrote:
> On Monday 08 October 2007 6:23:21 am paul sorenson wrote:
>> Is it usually assumed that references to "returns" are calculated as
>> diff(log(prices))? Compared with say the simple fractional change from
>> one price to the next?
>>
>> For example, in PerformanceAnalytics I notice that the default value of
>> CalculateReturns is diff(log(prices)).
>>
>> I guess it probably doesn't matter much either way for small changes, I
>> just wanted to know if there was some common convention when I see an R
>> function that expects a returns vector.
>>
>> cheers
>>
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>
> Despite the default you point out, most of the functions in
> PerformanceAnalytics assume simple returns. Perhaps an underlying question
> is "which is the 'correct' way to calculate returns?" but the answer for
> what to is "neither", which is somewhat unsatisfying (to point to Jeff's
> earlier comment). The "better" method depends what you are trying to
> accomplish. Most of PerformanceAnalytics' functions are about performance
> description, so we have erred to the simple which is slightly more
> conservative.
>
> Before we get to 1.0, I hope to have methods included for handling both
> explicitly where needed.
>
> As Eric already pointed out, continuously compounded returns have an advantage
> over simple returns in that they are additive through time and they include
> the effects of compounding. The drawback to log returns is that they are
> not additive in a portfolio.
>
> The simple return on a portfolio of assets is a weighted average of the
> simple returns on the individual assets. Average simple returns can be
> thought of as a reasonable one-step-ahead forecast; average compound returns
> are a better representation of the expected return over a longer period.
>
> But what really matters is that you are consistent, so that the comparisons
> you make are imprecise in the same direction and the resulting relative
> ranking is correct.
>
> I can't speak for the assumptions of other packages or functions expecting
> returns, but I would note that there seem to be relatively few. If I recall
> correctly, many functions assume prices and make the conversion.
>
> pcc
>
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