[R-sig-finance] Baxter-King filtering?
Ajay Narottam Shah
ajayshah at mayin.org
Fri Nov 25 02:33:40 CET 2005
A few weeks ago, Gabor showed this code for Hodrick Prescott
filtering:
# See http://econ.ohio-state.edu/hwkim/hpfilter.pdf
# Maravall & del Rio (2001) recommend
# Quarterly data lambda=1600
# Monthly 1e5<lambda<1.4e5
# Annual 6 < lambda < 14
hodrickprescott <- function(y, lambda) {
eye <- diag(length(y))
F <- crossprod(diff(eye, d=2))
tau <- solve(lambda * F + eye, y)
list(trend=tau, cycle=y-tau)
}
The literature seems to think that Baxter-King works better. The idea
is not hard: it's just a band pass filter at `business cycle
frequencies'. So the steps would be to do a fourier transform, zap out
power at all but the interesting frequencies, and then do an inverse
transform. The implementation is a bit harder because of short data
series and (I think) edge effects. I'm not fluent with spectral
analysis and am unable to hack this up. Has someone already done this?
I noticed that it's supported by `grocer' which runs under Scilab, so
GPL code is probably out there already.
--
Ajay Shah
ajayshah at mayin.org
http://www.mayin.org/ajayshah
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