[R] iraq statistics - OT
Peter Dalgaard
p.dalgaard at biostat.ku.dk
Fri May 19 14:41:58 CEST 2006
Rolf Turner <rolf at math.unb.ca> writes:
> Gabor Grothendieck wrote:
>
> > I came across this one:
> >
> > http://www.nysun.com/article/32787
> >
> > which says that the violent death rate in Iraq (which presumably
> > includes violent deaths from the war) is lower than the violent
> > death rate in major American cities.
> >
> > Does anyone have any insights from statistics on how to
> > interpret this?
>
> Well, I don't. But I remain very skeptical anyhow. I had
> heard earlier that the violent death rate for *American
> military personel* in Iraq is lower than the violent death
> rate in American cities --- which seems more plausible. But
> still not very plausible. Or maybe major American cities
> are even worse than we had been led to believe.
They are... Figures like the ones quoted for South Africa, Colombia,
New Orleans &c generally represent the existence of neighbourhoods
with total social and law enforcement breakdown.
However, numbers can easily be misleading. I notice that the crude
death rate is substantially lower in Iraq than in Canada! The fact
that 40% of the Iraqis are less that 15 years of age may have
something to do with that... (and with the denominator of the violent
death rate too).
--
O__ ---- Peter Dalgaard Øster Farimagsgade 5, Entr.B
c/ /'_ --- Dept. of Biostatistics PO Box 2099, 1014 Cph. K
(*) \(*) -- University of Copenhagen Denmark Ph: (+45) 35327918
~~~~~~~~~~ - (p.dalgaard at biostat.ku.dk) FAX: (+45) 35327907
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