[R] Better idea than Poisson?
Prof Brian Ripley
ripley at stats.ox.ac.uk
Fri Jan 25 09:58:33 CET 2002
On Fri, 25 Jan 2002, Patrick Connolly wrote:
>
> My data has three factors, a discrete response and an offset column.
> >From the summary of a glm object derived using three way interactions,
> I get this deviance information:
>
> (Dispersion parameter for poisson family taken to be 1)
>
> Null deviance: 39244 on 896 degrees of freedom
> Residual deviance: 11913 on 795 degrees of freedom
> AIC: 13905
>
> Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 6
>
>
> The rather high residual deviance could indicate that the data does
> not fit a poisson distrubution very well. That's believable since in
> quite a number of combinations of the three factors, zero occurs more
> often that one might expect for a Poisson distribution.
>
>
> Are there suggestions as to what might be a better way to analyse this
> data?
I would at least try a negative binomial (glm.nb in MASS), but as that
seems to be a very large degree of over-dispersion it might not fit much
better. You could fairly easily write code for a zero-augmented Poisson
(a mixture of a Poisson and always zero) by a direct likelihood
maximization.
--
Brian D. Ripley, ripley at stats.ox.ac.uk
Professor of Applied Statistics, http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford, Tel: +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272860 (secr)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UK Fax: +44 1865 272595
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