[R-sig-ME] glmm AIC/LogLik reliability
Andrew Beckerman
a.beckerman at sheffield.ac.uk
Wed Jan 28 21:26:29 CET 2009
Perhaps the question was not clear enough (I helped Duncan try and
articulate this....)
Lets assume that we maintain random effects structure in all models,
but we have a large multiple regression problem in the fixed effects
(say 8 variables potentially affecting reproduction in a population).
Can we assume that the LogLik calculations work in this instance?
If we can say yes to this, then we can assume that some calculation of
AIC is possible. The adjustement of the LogLik by # of paramters can
be manipulated by the researcher, deciding on what df means to him or
her, etc. The crux of the questions is not whether inference is
correct, but whether the bits/mechanics about getting an AIC value for
a set of nested models with the same random effects are internally
consistent.
Andrew
On 28 Jan 2009, at 19:11, Ben Bolker wrote:
> I would argue that there's very little we *can* trust
> in the realm of GLMM inference, with the exception
> of randomization/parametric bootstrapping (and possibly
> Bayesian) approaches.
>
> I think AIC is no worse than anything else in this regard,
> except that it hasn't been explored as carefully
> as some of the alternatives: thus we suspect by analogy
> that there are problems similar to those of the LRT,
> but we don't know for sure.
> Vaida and Blanchard (2005), Greven (2008), and Burnham
> and White (2002) are good references. There are
> two basic issues:
> (1) if you choose to include models that differ
> in their random effects components, how do you count
> "effective" degrees of freedom?
> (2) how big a sample does it take to reach the
> "asymptopia" of AIC? If you're not there, what is
> the best strategy for finite-size correction? If
> you use AICc, what should you put in for effective
> residual degrees of freedom?
>
> Ben Bolker
>
>
> D O S Gillespie wrote:
>> Dear R-Sig-ME -
>>
>> Lets assume that I am going to use a model averaging AIC based
>> approach to evaluate nested glmm's.
>>
>> I would like to assume that the estimation of AIC and LogLik in the
>> glmm's of lmer are consistent enough (precise, if not accurate) to
>> use
>> in this framework. I realize that we don't trust anova(m1, m2),
>> mainly
>> due to df and tests statistics issues.
>>
>> I realise that some of you may suggest that this is not the correct
>> framework. If so, can you distinguish arguments about the philosophy
>> of AIC model averaging from the practical implementation - i.e. is
>> the
>> output consistent enough to use if, even if you don't believe the
>> answer. Perhaps they are too intertwined.
>>
>> Thanks,
>>
>> Duncan Gillespie
>>
>> _______________________________________________
>> R-sig-mixed-models at r-project.org mailing list
>> https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-mixed-models
>
>
> --
> Ben Bolker
> Associate professor, Biology Dep't, Univ. of Florida
> bolker at ufl.edu / www.zoology.ufl.edu/bolker
> GPG key: www.zoology.ufl.edu/bolker/benbolker-publickey.asc
>
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