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<p class="MsoNormal">Having trouble with bad initial parameter estimates in rugarch when using an external regressor.<o:p></o:p></p>
<ul style="margin-top:0cm" type="disc">
<li class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:0cm;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1">Convergence code is 0 and convergence is rapid, but….<o:p></o:p></li><li class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:0cm;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1">Coefficient estimate on the external regressor is always 0.00000 and condH = NaN<o:p></o:p></li><li class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:0cm;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1">Results are robust to variable scaling and optimization algorithm (tried them all.)<o:p></o:p></li></ul>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">My hunch is that I’m on a saddle point (or similar ‘flat spot’.)<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I’d like to try alternative initial parameter estimates for the external regressor; can anyone point me to an example showing how to pass this to the optimizer?<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Would to happy to hear of other suggestions, or provide details, a reprex, etc.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">FWIW, this may be related to the question someone else posted back on 20-06-2022.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Thnx<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="FR-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-line-height-alt:9.75pt"><b><span lang="FR-CA" style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA">Simon van Norden</span></b><span lang="FR-CA" style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-line-height-alt:8.25pt"><b><span lang="FR-CA" style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA">Professeur Titulaire<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-line-height-alt:8.25pt"><span lang="FR-CA" style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA">Finance<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-line-height-alt:8.25pt"><span lang="FR-CA" style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA">3000, chemin de la Côte‑Sainte‑Catherine,<br>
Montréal (Québec)  H3T 2A7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-line-height-alt:8.25pt"><b><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA">Telephone: 514 340 6781</span></b><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="FR-CA"><a href="http://www.hec.ca/"><span lang="EN-CA" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:blue;border:none windowtext 1.0pt;padding:0cm;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA;text-decoration:none"><img border="0" width="200" height="26" style="width:2.0833in;height:.275in" id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.png@01D925D1.B6E42D60" alt="HEC Montréal"></span></a></span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="FR-CA"><a href="http://www.hec.ca/decouvrez/choisir_hec/"><span lang="EN-CA" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:blue;border:none windowtext 1.0pt;padding:0cm;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA;text-decoration:none"><img border="0" width="100" height="23" style="width:1.0416in;height:.2416in" id="Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image002.png@01D925D1.B6E42D60" alt="Agréments"></span></a></span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><a href="http://www.hec.ca/"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:#003C71;border:none windowtext 1.0pt;padding:0cm;text-decoration:none">hec.ca</span></b></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="FR-CA" style="mso-ligatures:none;mso-fareast-language:EN-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="FR-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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