Thanks Joshua.
Since the standard deviation is zero, I don't think the 0% interpretation is one I'll favor.  I think I'll have to account for the absence of volatility.

 
--
Stergios Marinopoulos


________________________________
 From: Joshua Ulrich <josh.m.ulrich@gmail.com>

Cc: "r-sig-finance@r-project.org" <r-sig-finance@r-project.org> 
Sent: Monday, February 20, 2012 5:52 AM
Subject: Re: [R-SIG-Finance] Interesting behaviour in BBands

Hi Stergios,

On Sat, Feb 18, 2012 at 5:52 PM, Stergios Marinopoulos

> There's an interesting behavior in BBands when dn, mavg, and up are the same
> value.  Here's an example:
>
'dn' and 'up' are functions of 'mavg' and the rolling standard
deviation of the series.  So the real problem is that the standard
deviation is zero for some observations.

>
> library(quantmod);
>
> getSymbols("SPY", from="1993-01-31", to="1996-01-01" ) ;
> bb <- BBands(Cl(SPY), n=3, sd=0.3, maType=EMA) ;
>
>
> bb[bb$pctB==Inf,]
>                 dn     mavg       up pctB
> 1993-04-16 44.92297 44.92297 44.92297  Inf
> 1995-02-09 48.25296 48.25296 48.25296  Inf
>
>
> And here's the graphic display for the fist Inf occurrence:
>
>
> chartSeries(SPY["1993-04-10::1993-04-20",])
> addTA(bb,on=1)
>
>
> Notice pctB is Inf when the dn & up are coincident with mavg.  I don't think
> Inf is the right interpretation here, as the mavg line is not Inf % between
> the up and down.  Would zero be a better interpretation here?
>
First, _thank_you_ for the reproducible example.  That makes it much
easier for me to investigate and help.

This is a direct result of how Bollinger Bands and pctB are calculated:
    sdev <- runSD(HLC, n, sample = FALSE)
    up <- mavg + sd * sdev
    dn <- mavg - sd * sdev
    pctB <- (HLC - dn)/(up - dn)

Where HLC=Cl(SPY) in your example.  I'm not aware of any special
methods to handle cases when the past 'n' days have the same price and
cause the standard deviation to be zero.  Note that this wouldn't be
an issue if you actually provide HLC data to the function, instead of
only close prices.

>
> Thanks for your thoughts.
>
> --
> Stergios Marinopoulos
>

Best,
--
Joshua Ulrich  |  FOSS Trading: www.fosstrading.com

R/Finance 2012: Applied Finance with R
www.RinFinance.com
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