
Begging the list's indulgence, an extremely dumb beginner's question.  I've got 24 months' worth of numbers - ranging from 2 events per month, to 66 events per month.  I want to take a stab at making a reasonable guess as to what the next year's data would be, approximately, i.e., based on the 24 months I've got, I want to be able to tell someone: "the 12 months after this will probably average about $number of events per month."  Assuming I'm able to navigate R with a minimum degree of proficiency, where would I start with this?  As you can doubtless tell, I'm not looking for anything sophisticated - just a reasonable estimate.  Am I going to be able to do better than a projected per-month guess based on $total/$number_of_months?

Thanks very much -
 		 	   		  
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