[R] analyzing results from Tuesday's US elections

Rolf Turner r@turner @end|ng |rom @uck|@nd@@c@nz
Sat Nov 14 03:59:49 CET 2020


On Thu, 12 Nov 2020 01:23:06 +0100
Martin Møller Skarbiniks Pedersen <traxplayer using gmail.com> wrote:

> Please watch this video if you wrongly believe that Benford's law
> easily can be applied to elections results.
> 
> https://youtu.be/etx0k1nLn78

Just watched this video and found it to be delightfully enlightening
and entertaining.  (Thank you Martin for posting the link.)

However a question springs to mind:  why is it the case that Trump's
vote counts in Chicago *do* seem to follow Benford's law (at least
roughly) when, as is apparently to be expected, Biden's don't?

Has anyone any explanation for this?  Any ideas?

cheers,

Rolf Turner

-- 
Honorary Research Fellow
Department of Statistics
University of Auckland
Phone: +64-9-373-7599 ext. 88276



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