[R] forecasting- number of items to replace is not a multiple of replacement length error

ap88ma aprotopapa at hotmail.co.uk
Fri Jul 29 21:39:36 CEST 2011


Hi all
I write below code for simulation and forecasting a stochastic mortality
model with parameters kappa2(t) and gamma3(t-x) where t is the time and x
the age but I got this message:"Error in G3.sim[, k] = G3.aug : 
  number of items to replace is not a multiple of replacement length"

Any suggestion ?

a=arima(gamma3,c(1,1,0))	
      D2=diff(kappa2)
	mu2=mean(D2)
	nD2=length(D2)
	sigma2=sum((D2-mu2)^2)/nD2		
	sigma2=sqrt(sigma2)

Dg=diff(gamma3)
	mug=mean(Dg)
nDg=length(Dg)
	sigmag=sum((Dg-mug)^2)/nDg		
	sigmag=sqrt(sigmag)

t0=1
	t1=length(y)
	t2=t1+tmax
	y.aug=(t0:t2)+y[1]-1	
	lx=length(x)
c=(y[1]-x[lx]):(y[t1]-x[1])
ct1=length(c)
ct2=ct1+tmax
c.aug=(y.aug[1]-x[lx]):(y.aug[t1]-x[lx]) 
	
K2.sim=array(0,c(length(y.aug),N))
G3.sim=array(0,c(length(c.aug),N))
	mtx.sim.array=array(0,c(length(y.aug),lx,N))
#mtx=years x ages x simulations
	for(k in 1:N){
		K2.aug=(t0:t2)*0	
		K2.aug[t0:t1]=kappa2	
		K2.aug[(t1+1):t2]=K2.aug[t1]+cumsum(rnorm(tmax,mu2,sigma2))
		K2.sim[,k]=K2.aug	
G3.aug=0
G3.aug[t0:ct1]=gamma3
G3.aug[(ct1+1):ct2]=G3.aug[ct1]+mug
+(a$coef)*(G3.aug[ct1]-G3.aug[ct1-1]-mug)+cumsum(rnorm(tmax,0,sigmag))	
G3.sim[,k]=G3.aug

for(i in 1:lx){
			mtx.sim.array[,i,k]=exp(beta1[i]+beta2[i]*K2.aug+G3.aug)
		}
	}
	list(x=x,y=y,y.aug=y.aug,dtx=dtx,etx=etx,wtx=wtx,beta1=beta1,beta2=beta2,
		kappa2=K2.sim,gamma3=G3.sim,mtx=mtx.sim.array)
}

Thanks for your time and your help



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