# [R] lorena

Tue Apr 5 18:27:07 CEST 2011

``` Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

personally work the series as a SARIMA

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.

M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))

where

D1 = diff (series)

Dear
I would like to know how to use the Croston method in R, consaltarte if I

Personally work the series as a SARIMA, this correct?

In the present instalment have many values zeros proposed the following
model, but I have many doubts with his predictions.
M3 = arima (d1, order = c (2,1,4), n. ahead = 4, seasonal = list (order = c
(2,1,4), period = 4))
where
D1 = diff (series)

*
saludos cordiales,

*lodeag en gmail.com*   *09-668.48.60*
------------ pr?xima parte ------------
ID	Serie
1.000000	0.000000
2.000000	0.000000
3.000000	0.000000
4.000000	152.100000
5.000000	179.580000
6.000000	195.474000
7.000000	197.937200
8.000000	216.097160
9.000000	223.071448
10.000000	245.966874
11.000000	252.880644
12.000000	0.000000
13.000000	273.109027
14.000000	281.577342
15.000000	287.372776
16.000000	280.555955
17.000000	286.182042
18.000000	293.301229
19.000000	303.959187
20.000000	303.197473
21.000000	312.053897
22.000000	0.000000
23.000000	322.755681
24.000000	0.000000
25.000000	321.304233
26.000000	329.709470
27.000000	335.897999
28.000000	0.000000
29.000000	329.701277
30.000000	325.349956
31.000000	338.850093
32.000000	343.215070
33.000000	0.000000
34.000000	0.000000
35.000000	334.615434
36.000000	343.551063
37.000000	337.402394
38.000000	336.177021
39.000000	340.881856
40.000000	348.523187
41.000000	349.106735
42.000000	351.637707
43.000000	353.120839
44.000000	344.560442
45.000000	0.000000
46.000000	0.000000
47.000000	0.000000
48.000000	0.000000
49.000000	345.231065
50.000000	351.480541
51.000000	342.707539
52.000000	348.914086
53.000000	354.102022
54.000000	356.273026
55.000000	345.428623
56.000000	0.000000
57.000000	342.699023
58.000000	350.816239
59.000000	0.000000
60.000000	0.000000
61.000000	355.108240
62.000000	0.000000
63.000000	353.261693
64.000000	349.328213
65.000000	349.388740
66.000000	352.443813
67.000000	0.000000
68.000000	344.539521
69.000000	350.581009
70.000000	357.618759
71.000000	346.653108
72.000000	341.684363
73.000000	0.000000
74.000000	342.738677
75.000000	350.762222
76.000000	0.000000
77.000000	347.803138
78.000000	344.820875
79.000000	0.000000
80.000000	342.851699
```