[R] OT Sorta: Odds Are, It's Wrong...

Berwin A Turlach berwin at maths.uwa.edu.au
Tue Mar 16 07:57:15 CET 2010


G'day all,

On Mon, 15 Mar 2010 12:46:42 -0500
Marc Schwartz <marc_schwartz at me.com> wrote:

> In turn, that reminds me of Stephen Senn's writing in Dicing with
> Death: Chance, Risk and Health:
> 
> "We can predict nothing with certainty but we can predict how
> uncertain our predictions will be, on average that is."

And I am reminded Stephen Senn's citation of Maurice Kendal in the same
book:

	`Life', the statistician Maurice Kendal once remarked, `would
	be simpler if the Bayesians followed the example or their
	master and published posthumously'.

Cheers,

	Berwin



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