[R] Please advise acf and pacf in order to determine order of Arima
Research student
vijayamahantesh_s at dell.com
Thu Jul 22 12:33:06 CEST 2010
I have data as below.Please let me know how the ACF and Pacf used to
determine the order od arima model.
Is there any rules need to be followed to determine order.Please advise
> turkey.price.ts
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2001 1.58 1.75 1.63 1.45 1.56 2.07 1.81 1.74 1.54 1.45 0.57 1.15
2002 1.50 1.66 1.34 1.67 1.81 1.60 1.70 1.87 1.47 1.59 0.74 0.82
2003 1.43 1.77 1.47 1.38 1.66 1.66 1.61 1.74 1.62 1.39 0.70 1.07
2004 1.48 1.48 1.50 1.27 1.56 1.61 1.55 1.69 1.49 1.32 0.53 1.03
2005 1.62 1.63 1.40 1.73 1.73 1.80 1.92 1.77 1.71 1.53 0.67 1.09
2006 1.71 1.90 1.68 1.46 1.86 1.85 1.88 1.86 1.62 1.45 0.67 1.18
2007 1.68 1.74 1.70 1.49 1.81 1.96 1.97 1.91 1.89 1.65 0.70 1.17
2008 1.76 1.78 1.53 1.90
>
>
acf(turkey.price.ts,plot=FALSE)
Autocorrelations of series ‘turkey.price.ts’, by lag
0.0000 0.0833 0.1667 0.2500 0.3333 0.4167 0.5000 0.5833 0.6667 0.7500 0.8333
1.000 0.465 -0.019 -0.165 -0.145 -0.219 -0.215 -0.122 -0.136 -0.200 -0.016
0.9167 1.0000 1.0833 1.1667 1.2500 1.3333 1.4167 1.5000 1.5833
0.368 0.723 0.403 -0.013 -0.187 -0.141 -0.180 -0.226 -0.130
> pacf(turkey.price.ts,plot=FALSE)
Partial autocorrelations of series ‘turkey.price.ts’, by lag
0.0833 0.1667 0.2500 0.3333 0.4167 0.5000 0.5833 0.6667 0.7500 0.8333 0.9167
0.465 -0.300 -0.020 -0.060 -0.218 -0.054 -0.061 -0.211 -0.180 0.098 0.299
1.0000 1.0833 1.1667 1.2500 1.3333 1.4167 1.5000 1.5833
0.571 -0.122 -0.077 -0.075 0.119 0.064 -0.149 -0.061
>
Thanks in advance
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