[R] Anyone Familiar with Using arima function with exogenous variables?
Richard A. Bilonick
rab at nauticom.net
Mon Apr 21 18:32:12 CEST 2003
Spencer Graves wrote:
> Have you tried reading predict.Arima?
>
> Do you have any references that compute a simple numerical example? I
> believe there is one in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel, but I don't have time
> to research it.
>
> Hope this helps.
> spencer graves
>
There does not appear to be any relevant information in predict.Arima
concerning xreg.
I tried using arima to estimate the sales data (Series M in Box and
Jenkins) using the leading indicator. I think I estimated the same model
correctly. The AR and MA coefficients roughly agreed but the intercept
and coefficient for the leading indicator were very different. The
intercept was 10 times too large (approximately) and the coefficient for
the leading indicator was about 1/10 of that shown in B&J.
So far I haven't located any simple examples to try.
Thanks.
Rick B.
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