[R] confidence interval in "predict.lm"
Thomas Lumley
tlumley at u.washington.edu
Fri Nov 15 19:17:33 CET 2002
On Fri, 15 Nov 2002, Fred Mellender wrote:
> I am studying statistics using R and a book "Understandable Statistics", by
> Brase and Brase. The book has two
> worked examples for calculating a confidence interval around a predicted
> value from a linear model.
<snip>
> The book gives the confidence interval as 26.5 <= y <= 39.5. The book
> defines the confidence interval calculation thus:
>
> yp - E <= y <= yp + E
>
> Where
> E = tc*sC *sqrt(1 + 1/n + (x-xBar)^2/SSx)
You asked R for a confidence interval for the predicted mean at x. If you
want a prediction interval at x you need interval="prediction" not
interval="confidence".
-thomas
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