[R] forecasting correlation with Garch
Dirk Eddelbuettel
edd at debian.org
Mon Jul 29 17:21:25 CEST 2002
> Hello R group,
> I'm using the tseries package to forecast variance and I would like to do
> the same with correlation.
[...]
> and I want to predict the correlation matrix,
> how can I do that?
You cannot. A (standard) Garch is univariate, correlation requires a
multivariate model. There is a cottage industry of papers on multivariate
Garch out there, but the problem is hard (in both a statistical and
numerical sense).
Tell your employer to buy a commercial risk management package. The
better ones include something like this.
Dirk
--
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