[R] non-R probability question

Martin Maechler maechler at stat.math.ethz.ch
Tue Jul 24 11:32:08 CEST 2001

>>>>> "Jonathan" == Jonathan Baron <baron at cattell.psych.upenn.edu> writes:
    Jonathan> The best article, by far, on this off-topic topic is:

    Jonathan> Nickerson, Raymond S. Ambiguities and unstated assumptions in
    Jonathan> probabilistic reasoning. Psychological Bulletin. Vol 120(3),
    Jonathan> Nov 1996, 410-433.
(don't know yet the above)

The topic also runs under "The Goat Problem",
and in German, there's even a nice little book

   author = 	 {Gero von Randow},
   title = 	 {Das Ziegenproblem; Denken in Wahrscheinlichkeiten},
   language = {g},
   publisher = 	 {Rowolt Taschenbuch Verlag},
   year = 	 1992

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