Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics

Autumn semester 2017

General information

Lecturer Prof. Sara van de Geer
Assistants Andreas Elsener, Gian Thanei, Peter Hinz
Lectures Wed 10-12 and Fri 8-10 HG E 1.1 >>
Exercises Tue 12-13 HG E 1.1 >>
Course catalogue data >>

Course content

The course covers the basics of inferential statistics.

Announcements

  • August 22, 2017:
    Beginning of lecture: Wednesday, 20/09/2017.
  • August 22, 2017:
    First exercise class: Tuesday, 26/09/2017.

Course materials

Lecture notes of the course taught in 2015: Lecture Notes AS 2015.
An updated version of the lecture notes will be posted at the beginning of the semester: Lecture Notes AS 2017.
Lecture notes in German of the course taught in 2005 by H.R. Künsch: Lecture Notes AS 2005 .

Tentative schedule

Date Topics Chapters
Wed, 20.09.2017 Introduction Chapter 1
Fri, 22.09.2017 Estimation Chapter 2
Wed, 27.09.2017 Likelihood methods Subsection 2.4.3
Fri, 29.09.2017 Intermezzo: distribution theory Chapter 3
Wed, 4.10.2017 Sufficiency and exponential families Chapter 4
Fri, 6.10.2017 Canonical form of an exponential family Section 4.5
Wed, 11.10.2017 Bias, variance and the Cramér Rao lower bound Chapter 5
Fri, 13.10.2017 Completeness for exponential families Section 5.4
Wed, 18.10.2017 Tests and confidence intervals Chapter 6
Fri, 20.10.2017 Equivalence confidence intervals and tests Section 6.3
Wed, 25.10.2017 The Neyman Pearson Lemma and UMP tests Chapter 7
Fri, 27.10.2017 Unbiased tests Section 7.5
Wed, 1.11.2017 Comparison of estimators Chapter 8
Fri, 3.11.2017 Equivariant statistics Chapter 9
Wed, 8.11.2017 Decision theory Chapter 10
Fri, 10.11.2017 Construction of Bayes estimators Section 10.5
Wed, 15.11.2017 Proving admissibility and minimaxity Chapter 11
Fri, 17.11.2017 The linear model Chapter 12
Wed, 22.11.2017 Distribution of the least squares estimator Section 12.3
Fri, 24.11.2017 Asymptotic theory Chapter 13
Wed, 29.11.2017 M-estimators Chapter 14
Fri, 1.12.2017 Asymptotic normality of the MLE Section 14.3
Wed, 6.12.2017 Asymptotic relative efficiency Section 14.6
Fri, 8.12.2017 Likelihood ratio tests Section 14.10
Wed, 13.12.2017 Complexity regularization Chapter 16
Fri, 15.12.2017 The ridge and Lasso penalty Section 16.5
Wed, 20.12.2017 Overview
Fri, 22.12.2017 Buffer

Exercise classes

Exercise classes are every week starting on September 26, 2017.

Series and solutions

The Series solutions should be handed in by 12.15PM of the designated date. You can submit your solutions to the assistants during the exercise class or by placing them in the Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics box in room HG J 68.

PhD Students who only need the ETH credit points have to hand in solutions to at least 8 problem sheets. If you need ECTS points, you do not have to hand in solutions but to pass the exam (an online registration on mystudies is required).

Exercises Solutions Due date
Series 1 Solutions 1 October 3, 2017
Series 2 Solutions 2 (fixed typo 17.10.) October 10, 2017
Series 3 Solutions 3 October 17, 2017
Series 4 Solutions 4 October 24, 2017
Series 5, Hints Solutions 5 (extended solution for ex3) October 31, 2017
Series 6 Solutions 6 November 7, 2017
Series 7 Solutions 7 November 14, 2017
Series 8 Solutions 8 November 21, 2017
Series 9 (corrected typo in ex2) Solutions 9 November 28, 2017
Series 10 Solutions 10 December 5, 2017
Series 11 Solutions 11 December 12, 2017
Series 12 Solutions 12 December 19, 2017