--- title: "Replication by `rdlearn`" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Replication by `rdlearn`} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r setup, include=FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE) knitr::opts_chunk$set(eval = TRUE) ``` ## Introduction The R package `rdlearn` implements the **safe policy learning under regression discontinuity designs with multiple cutoffs** of Zhang et al.(2022). It provides functions to learn improved treatment assignment rules (cutoffs) which are guaranteed to yield no worse overall outcomes than the existing cutoffs. In this vignette, we replicate some of the empirical application results from Section 6 of Zhang et al. (2022). ## Installation The `rdlearn` package for R can be downloaded using (requires previous installation of the [`remotes` package](https://remotes.r-lib.org/index.html)). ```{r, eval = FALSE} remotes::install_github("kkawato/rdlearn@0.1.1") ``` Load the package after the installation is complete. ```{r, message=FALSE, warning=FALSE} library(rdlearn) ``` ## Data For our case study, we download the `acces` dataset and apply the proposed methodology to **the ACCES (Access with Quality to Higher Education) program**, a national-level subsidized loan initiative in Colombia. To qualify for the ACCES program, students must achieve a high score on **the SABER 11**, the national high school exit exam. Each student is assigned a position score ranging from 1 to 1,000, based on each student’s position in terms of 1,000 quantiles. To select ACCES beneficiaries, the Colombian Institute for Educational Loans and Studies Abroad establishes an **eligibility cutoff** such that students whose position scores are higher than the cutoff become eligible for the ACCES program. The eligibility cutoff is defined separately for each department (or region) of Colombia (see Melguizo et al. (2016) for more details). The `acces` dataset includes four columns. The `elig` column contains the **outcome** (eligibility for the ACCES program (1: eligible; 0: not eligible). The `saber11` column contains **running variable** (position scores from the SABER 11 exam). The `cutoff` column contains the eligibility **cutoff** for each department, and the `department` column contains the names of the departments. ```{r} library(rdlearn) # Load acces data data(acces) head(acces) ``` ## Main Analysis: Cutoff change relative to the baseline for each department under different smoothness multiplicative factors First, we demonstrate how to output **the summary of Table 1** in Zhang et al. (2022), which includes local treatment effect estimates at the baseline cutoffs. This can be done as follows: ```{r} rdestimate_result <- rdestimate( data = acces, y = "elig", x = "saber11", c = "cutoff", group_name = "department" ) print(rdestimate_result) ``` This provides basic information, including the sample size and baseline cutoff for each group, as well as the RD treatment effect and standard error. RD treatment effects marked with an asterisk (**) are significant at the 5% level. Next, we demonstrate how to obtain **the results of Figure 2**, which shows the cutoff change relative to the baseline for each department under different **smoothness multiplicative factors** (`M`). Due to the computational time required, we are presenting a part of Figure 2. Learning safe cutoffs can be done as follows: ```{r, warning=FALSE, fig.width = 8, fig.height = 6} # set seed for replication set.seed(12345) # only a subset of data is used acces_filtered <- acces[acces$department %in% c("DISTRITO CAPITAL", "MAGDALENA"), ] # To replicate exactly, set data = acces, fold = 20 and M = c(0, 1, 2, 4) rdlearn_result <- rdlearn( data = acces_filtered, y = "elig", # elig x = "saber11", # saber11 c = "cutoff", # cutoff group_name = "department", fold = 2, M = 1, cost = 0, trace = FALSE ) summary(rdlearn_result) plot(rdlearn_result, opt = "dif") ``` This plot shows the cutoff changes relative to the baseline for each department under different smoothness multiplicative factors (`M`). The main function here is `rdlearn`. The arguments include `data` for the **dataset**, `y` for the column name of **outcome**, `x` for the column name of **running variable**, `c` for the column name of **cutoff**, and `group_name` for the column name of **group**. These arguments specify the data we analyze. The `fold` argument specifies **the number of folds for cross-fitting**. For sensitivity analysis, the `M` argument specifies **the multiplicative smoothness factor** and `cost` specifies **the treatment cost**. For an `rdlearn_result` object obtained by `rdlearn`, we can use `summary` to display the RD estimates, the obtained safe cutoffs, and the differences between the safe and original cutoffs. The `plot` function provides a clear visualization of the safe cutoffs. Using `plot(result, opt = "safe")` shows **the obtained safe cutoffs**, while `plot(result,opt = "dif")` shows **the differences between the safe and original cutoffs**. The `trace` argument can be set to `TRUE` to show progress during the learning process. ## Sensitivity Analysis: Cutoff change relative to the baseline for each department with varying cost of treatment Next, we show results for **another sensitivity analysis**, as shown in Figure 3 in Zhang et al.(2022). For the same reason, we are presenting only a part of Figure 3. In the case of Zhang et al.(2022), we assume the utility function \( u(y, w) = y - C \times w \), where \( y \) is a binary outcome (representing the utility gain from enrollment), \( C \) is a cost parameter ranging from 0 to 1, and \( w \) is a binary treatment indicator (representing the offering of a loan). To explore the trade-off between cost and utility, we conduct a sensitivity analysis for the cost parameter: \( C \). We use the `sens` function with the `rdlearn_result` object as follows: ```{r, warning=FALSE, fig.width = 8, fig.height = 6} # To replicate exactly, set cost = c(0, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 1) sens_result <- sens( rdlearn_result, M = 1, cost = 1, trace = FALSE) plot(sens_result, opt = "dif") ``` This plot shows the cutoff change relative to the baseline for each department under different values of `cost`. If the learning process has already been implemented and the `rdlearn_result` object is available, the `sens` function can be used to modify parameters specifically for sensitivity analysis. ## References Zhang, Y., Ben-Michael, E. and Imai, K. (2022) ‘Safe Policy Learning under Regression Discontinuity Designs with Multiple Cutoffs’, arXiv [stat.ME]. Available at: [http://arxiv.org/abs/2208.13323](http://arxiv.org/abs/2208.13323). Melguizo, T., F. Sanchez, and T. Velasco (2016). Credit for low-income students and access to and academic performance in higher education in Colombia: A regression discontinuity approach. World Development, 80, 61–77.