--- title: "Worked Examples Across Designs" author: "Ken Kelley, Samantha F. Anderson, and Scott E. Maxwell" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Worked Examples Across Designs} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r setup, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set(collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>") library(BUCSS) ``` Which planner fits a given prior study, and what does it need to know about that study? This vignette walks through one example of each of the eighteen `ss_buc_*` planners. The pattern is always the same: summarize the prior study with a single test statistic and its design, and the function returns the necessary planned-study sample size and the bias and uncertainty adjusted noncentrality parameter (Anderson, Kelley, & Maxwell, 2017; Anderson & Kelley, 2024). Every example uses 80% power and 80% assurance unless noted. For the meaning of the `assurance` and `alpha_prior` settings, see `vignette("understanding-assurance", package = "BUCSS")`. ## Independent *t* Test A prior two-group study reported *t* = 3.00 with 20 participants per group. The returned sample size is per group. ```{r} ss_buc_independent_t(t_observed = 3, n = 20, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` `ss_buc_smd` is the same planner under an effect size name. It still takes *t*, so convert a reported standardized mean difference *d* first: `t = d / sqrt(1/n_1 + 1/n_2)`, with `n_1` and `n_2` the two group sizes. ## Dependent (Paired) *t* Test A prior within-pairs study of 40 pairs reported *t* = 3.00. The returned sample size is the number of pairs. ```{r} ss_buc_paired_t(t_observed = 3, N = 40, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` The alias `ss_buc_smd_paired` serves the standardized mean difference framing of the same comparison. ## One-Sample *t* Test A prior study of 30 participants compared their mean with a fixed reference value, such as a scale midpoint or a published norm, and reported *t* = 3.20. The returned sample size is the total number of participants. ```{r} ss_buc_one_sample_t(t_observed = 3.2, N = 30, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` A paired *t* test is a one-sample *t* test on the difference scores, so this planner is the paired planner under another name: for the same prior *t* and *N* the two return the same plan. ## Between-Subjects ANOVA A one-way fully between-subjects design takes the number of levels of the single factor. Here a four-group design with total *N* = 120 reported *F* = 5.00 for the omnibus effect. The returned sample size is per group. ```{r} ss_buc_one_way_anova(F_observed = 5, N = 120, levels_A = 4, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` A two-way fully between-subjects design takes the levels of both factors and the effect of interest (`factor_A`, `factor_B`, or `interaction`). Here a 2 x 3 design with total *N* = 120 reported *F* = 5.00 for the main effect of Factor B. The returned sample size is per cell. ```{r} ss_buc_factorial_anova(F_observed = 5, N = 120, levels_A = 2, levels_B = 3, effect = "factor_B", alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` When the effect of interest is not a standard main effect or interaction, or the design has more than two factors, use the general form and supply the degrees of freedom directly. The denominator degrees of freedom equal *N* minus the number of cells when the cell means are the only estimated parameters, so supplying `df_denominator = N - cells` (here 120 - 6 = 114) reproduces the two-way result above. A smaller `df_denominator` accounts for covariates or other nuisance parameters and calls for a larger sample. ```{r} ss_buc_factorial_anova_general(F_observed = 5, N = 120, cells = 6, df_numerator = 2, df_denominator = 114, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` ## Within-Subjects ANOVA For a fully within-subjects design, supply the factor levels and the effect. Here a 2 x 3 within-subjects design with *N* = 60 reported *F* = 5.00 for the main effect of Factor B. The returned sample size is the total number of subjects. ```{r} ss_buc_rm_anova(F_observed = 5, N = 60, levels_A = 2, levels_B = 3, effect = "factor_B", alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` The general form takes the numerator degrees of freedom directly and works for any number of within-subjects factors. This example uses `assurance = .50`, which corrects for publication bias only. ```{r} ss_buc_rm_anova_general(F_observed = 6.5, N = 80, df_numerator = 1, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .50, desired_power = .80) ``` ## Split-Plot (Mixed) ANOVA A split-plot design crosses a between-subjects factor with a within-subjects factor. Supply the levels of each and the effect (`between`, `within`, or `interaction`). Here a design with 2 between-subjects levels and 3 within-subjects levels and *N* = 60 reported *F* = 5.00 for the within-subjects effect. The returned sample size is per between-subjects cell. ```{r} ss_buc_mixed_anova(F_observed = 5, N = 60, levels_between = 2, levels_within = 3, effect = "within", alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` The general form takes the numerator degrees of freedom and the number of between-subjects groups directly. The effect is one of `between_only`, `within_only`, or `between_within`; supply `df_num_within`, the numerator degrees of freedom of the within-subjects component, only when `effect = "between_within"` (it is required there, and ignored with a warning otherwise). The returned sample size is per group. ```{r} ss_buc_mixed_anova_general(F_observed = 5, N = 90, df_numerator = 2, num_groups = 3, effect = "between_only", alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` ## Departures From Sphericity The within-subjects and split-plot planners assume sphericity by default, as the uncorrected within-subjects test does, and echo that assumption as an `epsilon` row of 1. When a paper reports a Greenhouse-Geisser (1959) or Huynh-Feldt (1976) correction instead, it shows fractional degrees of freedom: a three-level within-subjects factor measured on 30 subjects might be reported as *F*(1.73, 50.2) = 6.50. The uncorrected degrees of freedom are 2 and 58, so the correction is `epsilon = 1.73/2`, about .865. The denominator agrees (50.2/58 is also about .865), and 50.2/1.73 = 29.0 is one less than the 30 subjects, which confirms how many subjects the analysis used. ```{r} ss_buc_rm_anova(F_observed = 6.5, N = 30, levels_A = 3, epsilon = 1.73 / 2) ``` Ignoring the correction plans 92 subjects rather than 162: ```{r} ss_buc_rm_anova(F_observed = 6.5, N = 30, levels_A = 3) ``` The difference has two sources. The same *F* on fewer degrees of freedom is weaker evidence: its *p* value rises from .0028 to .0045, the largest supportable assurance falls from .94 to .90, and the correction for uncertainty at an `assurance` of .80 takes correspondingly more off. And the planned study, analyzed with the same correction, has less power at any size. Both follow the approximation of Muller and Barton (1989), in which both degrees of freedom and the noncentrality parameter are multiplied by `epsilon`; `ncp_adjusted` stays on the sphericity scale, so the two plans' parameters are comparable. The plan is sensitive to `epsilon`, so it is worth seeing across the values you find plausible: ```{r} eps <- c(1, .95, .9, .85, .8, .75) sapply(eps, function(e) { res <- ss_buc_rm_anova(F_observed = 6.5, N = 30, levels_A = 3, epsilon = e) res$value[res$term == "necessary_N"] }) ``` One `epsilon` describes both studies: it is a property of the covariance of the repeated measures, which the planned study shares with the prior one. When a paper reports both corrections, use the Greenhouse-Geisser value. The correction is an approximation, and the help page for `ss_buc_rm_anova()` reports how well it holds up in simulation. In a split-plot design it applies to the within-subjects effect and the interaction, not to the between-subjects effect, whose test is on subject means. ## Multiple Regression Anderson (2021) is a step-by-step tutorial for planning regression studies with BUCSS, and is the best starting point for the three regression planners below. For a single regression coefficient, supply the *t* statistic for that coefficient, the prior sample size, and the number of predictors `p`. A prior study with *N* = 150 and 3 predictors reported *t* = 3.00 for one coefficient. The returned sample size is the total. ```{r} ss_buc_reg_coef(t_observed = 3, N = 150, p = 3, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` For the omnibus test of the model R-squared, supply the model *F* statistic. Here a prior study with *N* = 150 and 4 predictors reported *F* = 5.00. ```{r} ss_buc_R2(F_observed = 5, N = 150, p = 4, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` For a joint test of a subset of predictors, also supply `p_joint`, the number of predictors tested together. Here 2 of the 4 predictors are tested jointly. ```{r} ss_buc_reg_joint(F_observed = 5, N = 150, p = 4, p_joint = 2, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` All three regression planners take `random_predictors`. By default (`random_predictors = FALSE`) they treat the predictors as fixed by design, as in an experiment in which the researcher sets their values, the frame of BUCSS 1.x. When the predictors are sampled along with the outcome, as in most observational research (Kelley & Maxwell, 2003), pass `random_predictors = TRUE`: the test statistic's noncentrality parameter then rises and falls with the sampled spread of the tested predictors, and the planners use the exact distribution that follows (Sampson, 1974; Gatsonis & Sampson, 1989). ```{r} ss_buc_R2(F_observed = 5, N = 150, p = 4, random_predictors = TRUE) ``` Planned as though they were fixed, sampled predictors make the reported `actual_power` overstate the planned study's power by an amount that shrinks as 1/*n* for a plan of *n* participants and grows with the number of predictors left untested (roughly 1/*n* with one predictor and 4/*n* for a coefficient among eight: about .04 at *n* = 100, and less than .01 for each of the three plans above). From prior studies as large as these the two frames differ little: with `random_predictors = TRUE` the three plans above are 623, 239, and 3,898 rather than 624, 234, and 3,960, the joint test's differing most because it is requested close to its assurance ceiling of .84. From a small prior study, with predictors left untested and a plan several times the prior *N*, the random-predictor plan can be smaller by up to about the number of untested predictors plus one, divided by the prior *N*: as much as 40 percent for a coefficient among eight predictors from a prior study of 20 (the help pages of `ss_buc_reg_coef()` and `ss_buc_reg_joint()` describe the pattern). With one predictor, `ss_buc_reg_coef(p = 1, random_predictors = TRUE)` returns exactly what `ss_buc_correlation()`, described in the next section, returns. ## Correlation A prior study reporting a Pearson correlation is planned from the correlation itself. A study with *N* = 100 reported *r* = .35. The returned sample size is the total. ```{r} ss_buc_correlation(r_observed = .35, N = 100, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` The test of a correlation is arithmetically the test of a simple regression slope, so it is tempting to plan it as one. That is exact only when the predictor is fixed by design. A correlation study samples both variables, and then the statistic's noncentrality parameter is itself random, proportional to the sampled spread of the predictor. The resulting distribution is more dispersed, and planning as though it were not overstates the power. The planner uses the exact distribution for sampled variables, so it asks for a few more participants than the regression planner does when that planner treats the predictor as fixed: ```{r} t_equivalent <- .35 * sqrt(98 / (1 - .35^2)) by_correlation <- ss_buc_correlation(t_observed = t_equivalent, N = 100) by_regression <- ss_buc_reg_coef(t_observed = t_equivalent, N = 100, p = 1, random_predictors = FALSE) c(correlation = by_correlation$value[by_correlation$term == "necessary_N"], regression = by_regression$value[by_regression$term == "necessary_N"]) ``` If your predictor really is fixed by design, the analysis is a regression slope, and `ss_buc_reg_coef()` with `p = 1` and `random_predictors = FALSE` is the planner for it. `vignette("correlation", package = "BUCSS")` develops the comparison. ## Analysis of Covariance Covariates cost error degrees of freedom in both the prior study and the planned one, so the planner takes their number directly. A prior study with *N* = 120, three groups, and two covariates reported *F* = 6.00 for the group effect. The returned sample size is per cell. ```{r} ss_buc_ancova(F_observed = 6, N = 120, cells = 3, n_covariates = 2, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` With `n_covariates = 0` this reproduces `ss_buc_one_way_anova()` exactly. For a single-degree-of-freedom contrast among the adjusted means, supply that contrast's *F* and set `df_numerator = 1`. ## Multivariate Comparison of Two Groups When two groups are compared on several outcome variables at once, the prior study's Hotelling *T* squared (Hotelling, 1931), or the *F* it maps to, plans the replication. A study with *N* = 80 comparing two groups on 3 outcomes reported *F* = 4.50. The returned sample size is per group. ```{r} ss_buc_manova(F_observed = 4.5, N = 80, p_variables = 3, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` This covers the multivariate hypothesis whose rank is one, which is what a two-group comparison gives. A hypothesis of higher rank has a set of noncentrality parameters rather than a single one, and the correction does not apply to it. ## Nested Model Comparison An effect tested by the chi square difference between two nested models, such as a constrained path in a structural equation model, is planned from that difference. Supply both models' degrees of freedom rather than only their difference. A prior study with *N* = 250 fit a model with 42 degrees of freedom and a constrained version with 43, a difference of 9.50 on 1 degree of freedom. ```{r} ss_buc_chisq_diff(chisq_observed = 9.5, N = 250, df_full = 42, df_restricted = 43, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` This is for the *difference* test, not for an omnibus model fit chi square: a publishable fit statistic is a small one, which inverts the selection the correction assumes. Requiring both models' degrees of freedom is what lets the function enforce that. An omnibus fit chi square compares a model against the *saturated* model, which has zero degrees of freedom, so `df_full = 0` is its signature and the function refuses it: ```{r error = TRUE} ss_buc_chisq_diff(chisq_observed = 9.5, N = 250, df_full = 0, df_restricted = 43) ``` A just-identified full model also has zero degrees of freedom, and there the difference test is a genuine one; the message above, and the function's help page, say how to plan that case. ## Unequal Variances When the two groups' variances differ, the Welch test is the appropriate comparison, and planning it needs the groups' relative spread in addition to their sizes. A prior study with 40 and 55 participants, whose second group was half again as variable as the first, reported *t* = 3.00. ```{r} ss_buc_welch_t(t_observed = 3, n_1 = 40, n_2 = 55, sd_ratio = 1.5, alpha_prior = .05, alpha_planned = .05, assurance = .80, desired_power = .80) ``` This planner treats the Welch statistic as noncentral *t* on the Welch-Satterthwaite degrees of freedom (Satterthwaite, 1946; Welch, 1947), the usual approximation in power analysis for this test. A minimum planned sample size of 10 per group is imposed because of estimation accuracy issues at smaller sample sizes: with fewer per group the approximation overstates the real test's power, while from 10 per group it is within .006 of it at an `alpha_planned` of .05. At a stricter `alpha_planned` the power of the smallest plans is overstated by more (at 10 per group by up to about .012 at .01 and .025 at .001), and the .006 holds again from 14 and 20 per group, respectively. When the target power is reached with fewer than 10 per group, the planner returns 10. Only the ratio enters the computation, but a paper usually reports the group standard deviations or variances rather than their ratio, so those may be given directly instead. All three calls describe the same study: ```{r} by_ratio <- ss_buc_welch_t(t_observed = 3, n_1 = 40, n_2 = 55, sd_ratio = 1.5) by_sds <- ss_buc_welch_t(t_observed = 3, n_1 = 40, n_2 = 55, sd_1 = 8.4, sd_2 = 12.6) by_vars <- ss_buc_welch_t(t_observed = 3, n_1 = 40, n_2 = 55, var_1 = 70.56, var_2 = 158.76) size_term <- "necessary_n_per_group" c(ratio = by_ratio$value[by_ratio$term == size_term], sds = by_sds$value[by_sds$term == size_term], vars = by_vars$value[by_vars$term == size_term]) ``` The assumed ratio matters more than any other input here, so it is worth seeing how the plan moves across the values you find plausible: ```{r} ratios <- c(1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3) sapply(ratios, function(r) { res <- ss_buc_welch_t(t_observed = 3, n_1 = 40, n_2 = 55, sd_ratio = r) res$value[res$term == "necessary_n_per_group"] }) ``` One `sd_ratio` describes both studies: the prior study, whose statistic is read under it, and the planned study. Getting it wrong can be costly. The plan built assuming equal variances (213 per group) delivers about .76 power rather than .80 if the ratio is in fact 2 in both studies. It delivers about .43 if the prior study's groups were equally variable but the planned study's ratio is 2, with the mean difference held fixed in units of the first group's standard deviation. Re-running across the ratios you find plausible, as above, and planning for the least favorable one you find credible guards against the first kind of error. The second, a planned study more unequal than the prior one, is not something the prior result can speak to, and needs its own allowance. ## References Anderson, S. F. (2021). Using prior information to plan appropriately powered regression studies: A tutorial using BUCSS. *Psychological Methods, 26*, 513--526. https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000366 Anderson, S. F., & Kelley, K. (2024). Sample size planning for replication studies: The devil is in the design. *Psychological Methods, 29*, 844--867. https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000520 Anderson, S. F., Kelley, K., & Maxwell, S. E. (2017). Sample-size planning for more accurate statistical power: A method adjusting sample effect sizes for publication bias and uncertainty. *Psychological Science, 28*, 1547--1562. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797617723724 Gatsonis, C., & Sampson, A. R. (1989). Multiple correlation: Exact power and sample size calculations. *Psychological Bulletin, 106*, 516--524. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.106.3.516 Greenhouse, S. W., & Geisser, S. (1959). On methods in the analysis of profile data. *Psychometrika, 24*, 95--112. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02289823 Hotelling, H. (1931). The generalization of Student's ratio. *The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 2*, 360--378. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177732979 Huynh, H., & Feldt, L. S. (1976). Estimation of the Box correction for degrees of freedom from sample data in randomized block and split-plot designs. *Journal of Educational Statistics, 1*, 69--82. https://doi.org/10.3102/10769986001001069 Kelley, K., & Maxwell, S. E. (2003). Sample size for multiple regression: Obtaining regression coefficients that are accurate, not simply significant. *Psychological Methods, 8*, 305--321. https://doi.org/10.1037/1082-989X.8.3.305 Muller, K. E., & Barton, C. N. (1989). Approximate power for repeated-measures ANOVA lacking sphericity. *Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84*, 549--555. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1989.10478802 Sampson, A. R. (1974). A tale of two regressions. *Journal of the American Statistical Association, 69*, 682--689. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1974.10480189 Satterthwaite, F. E. (1946). An approximate distribution of estimates of variance components. *Biometrics Bulletin, 2*, 110--114. https://doi.org/10.2307/3002019 Welch, B. L. (1947). The generalization of 'Student's' problem when several different population variances are involved. *Biometrika, 34*, 28--35. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/34.1-2.28